When I was kid in the 1970s and 80s, pot smoking was frowned upon; those that did it, had to sneak away to do so. The funny part was when they came back and tried to act like they weren’t stoned.�...
By Scott Dick Derby Day Racing A mere 3,693 miles separates Indiana Grand Racecourse, where Bucchero started his racing career, from Ascot. However, distance alone can’t describe the vast difference...
Of all the Triple Crown races, the Belmont Stakes is probably the most “normal” from a betting standpoint. In Louisville, the emphasis is on improvement — a quest for horses that are ready to de...
I am picking Justify to win the 2018 Belmont Stakes and become the 13th Triple Crown Champ. This will be extremely popular with race fans. However, I am not out for click-bait journalism here, I truly...
Many horseplayers dismiss horses that went off as the post-time favorite and lost in their previous race. Often these horses are not worth playing back, yet there are occasions when they are worth b...
People ask me all the time why I think pace analysis represents the last frontier of thoroughbred handicapping (OK, maybe not in those exact words, but you get the picture) and my answer is always the...
Even though, historically, favorites in the Belmont Stakes win more often than favorites as a whole, they are wildly overbet, returning approximately $3.67 for every winning $2 wager, compared to ab...
Since 1960, just 10 of 279 non-Kentucky Derby starters have won the Preakness Stakes. That’s a 3.6 percent win rate, a 0.36 impact value (IV) and a 0.64 odds-based impact value (OBIV). Dr. Will...
Though the Kentucky Derby (GI) has officially been run one more time than the Preakness Stakes (GI), Maryland’s most prestigious race is actually older than it’s red-rose-adorned counterpart and, ...
Editor’s Note: This story was originally published on May 18, 2016. By now, you should all know what I think of statistics, how I use them, and how they help and hurt handicappers. I’m a littl...