A Betting-Style Look at Eclipse Awards Favorites

Eclipse Awards Favorites

I’ve been voting for the Eclipse Awards since the Nineties, and I always look forward to exercising that privilege. It’s fun to participate in horse racing history as a member of the National Turf Writers and Broadcasters (NTWAB).

Every December, the Daily Racing Form sends voters a booklet containing past performances and statistics about all the contenders. The deadline is in early January, and the judgments of NTWAB, Daily Racing Form, and National Thoroughbred Racing Association members determine the winners of 17 separate categories. They will be announced on Jan. 22 at the 55th annual Eclipse Awards Dinner in Palm Beach, Florida.

Sometimes the pick is a no-brainer, such as Thorpedo Anna for the 2024 Horse of the Year. Other times it’s not so simple, so I go back and forth, juggling different criteria while pondering the data. When a category is a toss-up, it becomes a matter of opinion, which is what horse racing is all about anyway.

The finalists for Horse of the Year will be announced during the awards presentation; all the other finalists were announced on Sunday.

As always, I tried hard to do my due diligence, although you may disagree with some of my picks. Some of my top 3 choices didn’t make the list of finalists, showing that some categories were tough to choose from.

Here are my picks:

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Horse of the Year

Missing the Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1) because of a fever did nothing to diminish the resume of Sovereignty, because 2025 was his year. Sweeping the Kentucky Derby (G1), Belmont Stakes (G1), and Travers Stakes (G1) locked up the big trophy.

Would a healthy Sovereignty have lost to Forever Young in the Classic? We’ll never know. The globetrotting Japanese superstar was brilliant at Del Mar, capping a 3-for-4 year that included victory in the $20 million Saudi Cup (G1).

1 Sovereignty, 2 Forever Young, 3 Journalism

2-Year-Old Male

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) hero Ted Noffey was 4-for-4, with three Grade 1 wins, and should be a unanimous choice.

1 Ted Noffey, 2 Gstaad, 3 Brant

2-Year-Old Filly

I went outside the box with turf standout Cy Fair, who was 3-for-4 and beat males in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint (G1). The likelier winner is Juvenile Fillies (G1) champ Super Corredora, but she needed three starts to break her maiden.

 1 Cy Fair, 2 Super Corredora, 3 Explora

3-Year-Old Male

Sovereignty was the undisputed ruler of this division and will be a unanimous choice.

1 Sovereignty, 2 Journalism, 3 Zulu Kingdom

3-Year-Old Filly

Nitrogen showed rare talent and versatility by excelling on turf and dirt. She went 6-for-9 with three seconds, winning four times on grass besides taking the 1¼-mile Alabama Stakes on the main track.

1 Nitrogen, 2 Shisospicy, 3 Lush Lips

Older Dirt Male

Forever Young was a clear choice in a very deep category that featured standout distance horses (Fierceness, Mindframe, Hit Show, Sierra Leone) and star sprinters (Book’em Danno, Bentornato).

1 Forever Young, 2 Book’em Danno, 3 Mindframe

Older Dirt Female

Expecting Thorpedo Anna to match what she did as a 3-year-old was unreasonable, but she still had an outstanding season. Going 4-for-6 (two Grade 1 victories) will earn another trophy.

1 Thorpedo Anna, 2 Seismic Beauty, 3 Splendora

Male Sprinter

Nysos fell a neck short of being 5-for-5. Back-to-back scores in the Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile (G1) and the Laffit Pincay Jr. Stakes (G2) locked it up for me.

1 Nysos, 2 Book’em Danno, 3 Mindframe

Female Sprinter

Shisospicy took four grass stakes, including a rout of males in the Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint (G1).

1 Shisospicy, 2 Splendora, 3 Ag Bullet

Male Turf Horse

World traveler Rebel’s Romance had the best body of work. He fell short of a third Breeders’ Cup Turf (G1) win, but five international victories in eight starts put him over the top – in my opinion, anyway. Breeders’ Cup Mile (G1) hero Notable Speech probably will win the award, but he was only 2-for-6.

1 Rebel’s Romance, 2 Notable Speech, 3 Deterministic

Female Turf Horse

She Feels Pretty just missed in the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf (G1), but her 3-for-5 record in stakes and two Grade 1 wins got my vote.

1 She Feels Pretty, 2 Shisospicy, 3 Excellent Truth

Steeplechase Horse

I settled on Cool Jet in a category without a clear standout. He won three graded stakes and was in the money in five of six tries.

1 Cool Jet, 2 Proven Innocent, 3 Swore

Owner

International superpower Godolphin set an earnings record ($22.39 million) for a fifth straight year.

1 Godolphin, 2 Klaravich Stables, 3 Juddmonte

Breeder

Predictably, it’s Godolphin again. Sheikh Mohammed’s all-conquering operation will also sweep this category for the fifth year in a row.

1 Godolphin, 2 WinStar Farm, 3 Don Alberto Corporation

Jockey

Flavien Prat got my vote to repeat his 2024 win in a tight race with Irad Ortiz, Jr. Prat won the most graded stakes, Grade 1 stakes, and overall stakes. Ortiz earned the most money and had the most wins.

1 Flavien Prat, 2 Irad Ortiz, Jr., 3 Jose Ortiz

Apprentice Jockey

Pietro Moran had the most wins and earnings. His main rival is Christopher Elliott, son of Stewart Elliott, who rode Hall of Famer Smarty Jones to victories in the 2004 Kentucky Derby and Preakness.

 1 Pietro Moran, 2 Christopher Elliott, 3 Yedsit Hazlewood

Trainer

Masterful horsemen Chad Brown, Brad Cox, Bob Baffert, and Bill Mott were in a four-way battle all year. Brown was remarkably consistent -- second in graded stakes wins and third in stakes victories (10 were Grade 1) and earnings. Cox led in purse money and stakes wins, but only five were Grade 1. Baffert was first in graded wins, including 10 Grade 1s. Mott guided Sovereignty through a Horse of the Year campaign.

1 Chad Brown, 2 Brad Cox, 3 Bob Baffert

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The list of Finalists for the 55th Eclipse Awards announced Sunday, with the exception of Horse of the Year (finalists listed in alphabetical order):

  • 2-Year-Old Male: Brant, Gstaad (GB), Ted Noffey
  • 2-Year-Old Filly: Cy Fair, Explora, Super Corredora
  • 3-Year-Old Male: Baeza, Journalism, Sovereignty
  • 3-Year-Old Filly: Good Cheer, Nitrogen, Shisospicy
  • Older Dirt Male: Forever Young (JPN), Nysos, Sierra Leone
  • Older Dirt Female: Scylla, Splendora, Thorpedo Anna   
  • Male Sprinter: Bentornato, Book’em Danno, Nysos
  • Female Sprinter: Kopion, Shisospicy, Splendora
  • Male Turf Horse: Deterministic, Notable Speech (GB), Rebel’s Romance (IRE)
  • Female Turf Horse: Gezora (FR), She Feels Pretty, Shisospicy
  • Steeplechase Horse: Cool Jet (IRE), Swore, Zanahiyr (IRE)
  • Owner: Godolphin LLC, Klaravich Stables, Inc., Spendthrift Farm LLC
  • Breeder: Don Alberto Corporation, Godolphin LLC, WinStar Farm, LLC
  • Trainer: Chad Brown, Brad Cox, Bill Mott
  • Jockey: Irad Ortiz, Jr., Flavien Prat, John Velázquez
  • Apprentice Jockey:  Christopher Elliott, Yedsit Hazlewood, Pietro Moran
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