LIVE: Belmont Stakes Odds, Scratches, Favorites and Betting Insights

2025 Belmont Stakes Day: Track Conditions

The action is underway at Saratoga, and the main track has officially been labeled sloppy and sealed, while the turf course is currently rated yielding.

Rainfall earlier in the morning prompted a wave of scratches across the undercard—most of them weather-related. If you're adjusting your Belmont Stakes betting strategy, now is the time to reassess based on real-time surface conditions and late scratches. Keep an especially close eye on how the Belmont Stakes odds react to the forecast.

saratoga springs forecast for belmont stakes day

Saratoga Springs forecast for June 7, 2025 by weather.com.


Top Belmont Day Betting Insights:

  • Baeza 4/1 - remains the most compelling key horse for exacta and trifecta plays. His strong late kick, advantageous post draw, and top-tier pedigree make him an ideal top selection. Given his Derby and Santa Anita efforts, it’s no surprise he’s gaining momentum on 2025 Belmont Stakes odds boards.
  • Sovereignty 2/1 and Journalism 8/5 are excellent complementary options beneath Baeza in vertical wagers. Sovereignty skipped the Preakness to come in fresh, while Journalism looks to cap a busy Triple Crown campaign after his Preakness win.
  • Crudo 15/1 adds depth as a live longshot. His tactical speed and outside post make him dangerous—especially if he can stay out of a speed duel with Rodriguez and sit just off the pace. His current position in the Belmont Stakes odds market could offer solid value.

Suggested Plays:

  • Exacta: Key #6 Baeza over #2 Sovereignty, #7 Journalism, #5 Crudo
  • Trifecta: Key box #6 Baeza with #2 Sovereignty, #7 Journalism, #5 Crudo

Live Updates: Undercard Scratches and Changes

There are no scratches in the eight-horse field for the 2025 Belmont Stakes (G1)—a much-anticipated rainy rematch between the top three Kentucky Derby finishers: Sovereignty, Journalism, and Baeza. Post time remains scheduled for 7:04 p.m. ET. That stability could bring late movement in Belmont Stakes odds, especially as the track dries out.

Rain Cancel Top Turf Races at Belmont Stakes Festival

Several turf races have already been shifted to the dirt due to early precipitation. Here's a quick rundown of what’s changed:

Just like that, persistent rainfall led to the postponement of Saturday’s two premier turf races ahead of the $2 million Belmont Stakes (G1).

Both the $1 million Manhattan Stakes (G1) and the $500,000 Jaipur Stakes (G1)—a Breeders’ Cup “Win and You’re In” qualifier—have officially been pushed to Sunday at Saratoga Race Course, where rain has been falling since Friday morning. Originally, the Jaipur was set as race 9, with the Manhattan scheduled as race 12, immediately preceding the 157th Belmont Stakes, which will feature Kentucky Derby winner Sovereignty and Preakness Stakes champion Journalism in a field of eight set to go 1¼ miles in the final leg of the Triple Crown.

In addition, the New York Racing Association announced that four other turf events on Saturday’s card have been moved to the main dirt track. This includes race 3, race 6 (the Wonder Again Stakes, G3), race 10 (the Pennine Ridge, G3), and race 14, an allowance optional claimer. NYRA has also released an updated wagering menu to reflect these changes:

Belmont day festival undercard after NYRA's updates due to heavy rain

With the first sloppy surface for the Belmont Stakes since 2011 all but guaranteed, the soggy showdown between Journalism and Sovereignty—who finished 1–2 in the Derby under similar conditions—could mirror their previous meeting on a rain-soaked track.

2025 Belmont Stakes odds, horses, post position, scratches

belmont stakes odds table

Belmont Stakes Odds, Contenders, Trainer, Jockeys
Horse Odds Trainer Jockey
Hill Road 10-1 Wayne Lukas Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Sovereignty 2-1 Bill Mott Junior Alvarado
Rodriguez 6-1 Bob Baffert Mike Smith
Uncaged 30-1 Todd Pletcher Luis Saez
Crudo 15-1 Todd Pletcher John Velazquez
Baeza 4-1 Todd Pletcher Flavien Prat
Journalism 8-5 Michael McCarthy Umberto Rispoli
Heart of Honor (GB) 30-1 Jamie Osborne Saffie Osborne
Proudly featured on:
up