The crisp autumn air of the Bluegrass State signals the arrival of one of Keeneland’s signature events, the $400,000 Grade 2 Raven Run Stakes. This race consistently delivers a thrilling, high-stakes sprint for three-year-old fillies, testing their speed and grit over seven furlongs on the dirt main track. For bettors and horse racing fans alike, the 2025 renewal promises an electrifying spectacle with a whole, competitive field that demands serious analysis.
Smart money finds the best value, and to successfully bet on Raven Run Stakes, you need to look past the morning-line favorite and dive deep into the form. We provide you with the essential information on how to catch the action, the weather forecast that could impact the outcome, a breakdown of the Keeneland racecard for the entire weekend, and a contender-by-contender analysis that helps you lock in your best picks. Savvy punters know that reviewing the most up-to-date Raven Run Stakes odds is only the first step toward a winning ticket.
How to Watch the 2025 Raven Run Stakes: Schedule and Date
The 2025 Raven Run Stakes (G2) anchors an outstanding day of racing at the picturesque Keeneland Race Course in Lexington, Kentucky. Mark your calendars and prepare for a brilliant afternoon of Thoroughbred action.
Event Information:
- Race Name: Raven Run Stakes (Grade 2)
- Track: Keeneland Race Course, Lexington, Kentucky
- Date: Saturday, October 18, 2025
- Distance: Seven furlongs (7f)
- Surface: Dirt
- Age/Sex: Three-Year-Old Fillies
- Purse: $400,000
- Post Time: The Raven Run Stakes runs as Race 9 on the card, with an estimated local post time of 5:16 p.m. Eastern Time (ET).
Fans can tune in to watch the race live through a variety of platforms. Traditional broadcast coverage for the Keeneland Fall Meet typically features on major sports networks and dedicated racing channels. Furthermore, the BUSR Experience platform carries the live feed, ensuring you never miss a second of the action. Knowing where to find the best Raven Run Stakes betting value often starts with securing reliable access to the broadcast. Accessing the current Raven Run Stakes odds through your preferred online betting platform ensures you have the latest information before placing your final wager.
Expected Weather Conditions and Track Analysis for the 2025 Raven Run Stakes
Weather plays a surprisingly significant role in dirt sprints, affecting the track surface and influencing the outcome for specific running styles. Understanding the potential weather for Saturday, October 18, 2025, at Keeneland is paramount for informed handicapping.
Early forecasts for the weekend in Lexington, Kentucky, suggest a highly agreeable late-autumn atmosphere, which bodes well for fast racing. The weather on the Friday before the race is expected to be sunny with a high in the low 70s Fahrenheit and an overnight low in the mid-50s. Saturday, the day of the Raven Run Stakes, is expected to bring continued pleasant conditions, with temperatures projected to climb into the high 70s or low 80s, mostly sunny skies, and a low precipitation risk.
This forecast strongly indicates a fast track condition, which traditionally favors horses with natural early speed and those who have demonstrated high-speed figures on a dry, quick surface. A fast dirt track often plays to the strengths of front-running or pressing horses in a seven-furlong test, but the short stretch at Keeneland means a powerful late-runner can also make a serious impact if the early pace collapses. When evaluating the Raven Run Stakes odds, consider which contenders benefit most from a lightning-fast main track.
Analyzing the Keeneland Racecard: The Full Weekend Stakes Program
The Raven Run Stakes sits as the jewel in the crown of a spectacular weekend of racing at Keeneland. The Fall Meet, which runs from early to late October, offers world-class Thoroughbred action, positioning several events as key stepping stones to the Breeders' Cup World Championships in late October/early November.
- Friday, October 17, 2025: The card usually includes high-quality Allowance Optional Claiming races and Maiden Special Weights, setting the stage for the big weekend. These races often feature horses who will contend in future graded stakes, providing excellent form clues for later in the meet.
- Saturday, October 18, 2025: Raven Run Stakes Day. The card features the Grade 2, $400,000 Raven Run Stakes, but also includes the Grade 3, $350,000 Perryville Stakes, a seven-furlong dirt sprint for three-year-old colts and geldings. These two races offer a fantastic seven-furlong stakes doubleheader. The support card will feature high-end allowance races and potentially another listed stakes event, creating a marathon handicapping day. Placing a solid bet on Raven Run Stakes should be a priority. Still, the Perryville and the high-value Allowance races offer numerous opportunities to capitalize on favorable Raven Run Stakes odds and other betting chances.
- Sunday, October 19, 2025: The weekend wraps up with the Grade 3, $350,000 Rood & Riddle Dowager Stakes, a marathon 1 1/2-mile turf race for fillies and mares aged three and up. This race drastically contrasts the Raven Run's sprint distance, demanding stamina and pedigree. Sunday's full card provides a chance to recalibrate after Saturday’s sprint action, focusing on turf specialists and stayers. The sheer volume of elite-level racing ensures significant liquidity in the pools and multiple opportunities to find value across different disciplines.
A Look Back: Notable Raven Run Stakes Past Winners
Studying past winners reveals crucial trends about the type of filly successful in the Raven Run Stakes. Since its inception in 1999, the race has produced numerous champions, several of whom went on to have excellent careers as older horses.
The most successful winner, in terms of subsequent achievements, remains Informed Decision, who captured the 2008 edition and went on to win the 2009 Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint (G1). The 2023 winner, Vahva, trained by Cherie DeVaux and ridden by John R. Velazquez, scored an impressive victory, running the 7 furlongs in a snappy 1:23.28. The 2022 winner, Wicked Halo, proved the class of her division for trainer Steve Asmussen and jockey Tyler Gaffalione.
Trainer William I. Mott, who sends out the current favorite, Ragtime, enjoyed success in 2021 with Caramel Swirl. The records show a pattern of multiple wins by top-tier connections: jockey Tyler Gaffalione has dominated the last few years, winning in 2024, 2022, and 2018, tying the all-time record of three wins. Trainer Mark E. Casse (Vixen’s trainer) also claimed the prize in 2018 with Shamrock Rose. The race profile consistently rewards fillies with a blend of elite Grade 1 quality and sharp sprinting speed, confirming this is a race to target with top-class contenders.
Full Field Odds and Contender Breakdown: Expert Analysis
The 2025 Raven Run Stakes features an oversubscribed field of 15 talented fillies, all vying for a significant Grade 2 victory and the lion's share of the $400,000 purse. The depth of the field suggests competitive Raven Run Stakes odds throughout the card. Below is the detailed breakdown, including our expert perspective on the main threats and value plays, providing you with a sound basis to bet on Raven Run Stakes.
This analysis breaks down the major contenders for the Raven Run Stakes (G2), categorizing them by morning-line (ML) odds and highlighting key factors like recent form, trainer/jockey connections, and potential for an upset.
Top Tier Favorites (3-1 to 4-1)
- 9. Ragtime (3-1 ML)
- Rating: $7.49$
- Trainer/Jockey: William I. Mott / Junior Alvarado
- The solid favorite coming off an authoritative win in the Dogwood Stakes (G3). Her speed figures are the field's most consistent and highest, and she has proven class at this distance. She is a must-use in all multi-race wagers.
- 11. Quietside (4-1 ML)
- Rating: $7.72$
- Trainer/Jockey: John A. Ortiz / Jose L. Ortiz
- The class performer in the race, despite a sixth-place finish in the longer Kentucky Oaks (G1). The cutback to seven furlongs is highly beneficial, and her $7.72$ rating suggests elite talent. She is a dangerous second choice with a top-tier team.
Mid-Range Contenders & Value Plays (9-2 to 10-1)
- 8. Usha (9-2 ML)
- Rating: $6.09$
- Trainer/Jockey: Bob Baffert / Irad Ortiz, Jr.
- The wild card. Trainer Baffert ships her in from California after an impressive Allowance win. While her rating is lower, the Baffert/Ortiz combination always warrants attention, and she is expected to show early speed.
- 10. Simply Joking (8-1 ML)
- Rating: $7.06$
- Trainer/Jockey: Michael W. McCarthy / Frankie Dettori
- The international intrigue. Legendary jockey Frankie Dettori takes the mount. Like Quietside, she failed to handle the Kentucky Oaks distance, and the cutback to sprinting should suit her perfectly. She offers a compelling value play.
- 13. Kappa Kappa (8-1 ML)
- Rating: $0.00$
- Trainer/Jockey: Robert E. Reid Jr. / Mychel J. Sanchez
- The new shooter. She arrives with a huge buzz after recording a stunning $131$-speed figure allowance win. The massive leap in class is the chief concern, but that speed figure makes her a high-risk, high-reward proposition.
- 12. Vodka With A Twist (10-1 ML)
- Rating: $7.37$
- Trainer/Jockey: Philip D'Amato / Luis Saez
- Shows solid form, having finished a credible fourth against older, top-class fillies in the Thoroughbred Club of America (G2). Dropping back into her age group, with a competitive $7.37$ rating, makes her a must-use in trifectas and superfectas.
- 7. Maida (10-1 ML)
- Rating: $0.00$
- Trainer/Jockey: Brittany T. Russell / Sheldon Russell
- Another speedster who also recorded a monster $131$-speed figure, winning the Weather Vane Stakes. She brings raw speed but faces a significant class test. She will be forwardly placed and dangerous if uncontested on the lead.
- 1/15. Delightful Claire (10-1 ML) & Tetiaroa (15-1 ML) - The Bauer Duo
- Rating: $6.89$ / $0.00$
- Trainer/Jockey: Philip A. Bauer / Joel Rosario (Claire) & Philip A. Bauer / Luis Saez (Tetiaroa)
- Trainer Bauer sends two. Delightful Claire was third in the Dogwood, suggesting she can hit the board but needs improvement to win. Tetiaroa is a longer shot stepping up in class. Claire, with Rosario aboard, is the more compelling for exotics.
Longshots & Exotic Considerations (12-1 to 30-1)
- 14. Taliesin (12-1 ML)
- Rating: $0.00$
- Trainer/Jockey: Jacinto Solis / Frankie Pennington
- More Parx power. Another shipper from Parx who showed excellent speed. The Grade 2 step up is a big question mark, but she warrants attention for deeper exotic wagers.
- 3. Strong State (15-1 ML)
- Rating: $6.67$
- Trainer/Jockey: Albert M. Stall, Jr. / James Graham
- Under the radar. She ran a game second to Ragtime in the Dogwood. While turning the tables is difficult, she consistently runs high speed figures and is a phenomenal inclusion in the Superfecta at this price.
- 5. Om N Joy (15-1 ML)
- Rating: $7.55$
- Trainer/Jockey: Aggie Ordonez / Kent J. Desormeaux
- Proven graded winner, owning a Grade 3 victory and an outstanding $7.55$ rating. The cutback from $1 \ 1/16$ miles is the main concern. The $15$-to-$1$ price makes her a massive value play and legitimate upset threat.
- 6. Reputation (15-1 ML)
- Rating: $0.00$
- Trainer/Jockey: Gustavo Delgado / Luan Machado
- Hidden speed. Her third in the Princess Rooney (G3) against older mares was promising. She is a dark horse to hit the board if the pace is hot.
- 2. Vixen (20-1 ML)
- Rating: $6.82$
- Trainer/Jockey: Mark E. Casse / Tyler Gaffalione
- Trainer/Jockey threat. She is making her dirt debut after running on turf, but her sire, Vekoma, excelled on dirt. Any ability transfer to the main track makes her $20$-to-$1$ odds a massive overlay.
- 4. Volleyballprincess (30-1 ML)
- Rating: $6.12$
- Trainer/Jockey: Louis C. Linder Jr. / Jaime Torres
- The longest shot. Despite a recent high speed figure ($125$), the $30$-to-$1$ morning line is justified given the quality of the competition.
Expert Analysis and Final Selections
The 2025 Raven Run Stakes boils down to a classic battle of proven class versus emerging speed, with the seven-furlong distance acting as the ultimate equalizer. Ragtime (9) is the deserved morning-line favorite. Her Dogwood win was powerful, and she comes from the strong Bill Mott barn. She runs the distance perfectly, and Junior Alvarado knows her well. However, in an overflow field like this, the value often lies with a second-tier contender who offers a better return on investment.
Quietside (11) is dangerous off the Kentucky Oaks break, but the best value play on the board is arguably Om N Joy (5) at 15-1. She won a Grade 3 at a longer distance and owns a massive class rating of 7.55. If she can handle the cutback, she will offer a great price in a wide-open race. The combination of trainer Aggie Ordonez and Kent Desormeaux is always worth respecting.
For the win, we stick with the proven entity but strongly recommend playing the exotics around the major value plays. This is a race where smart Raven Run Stakes betting can lead to significant payouts.
Top Picks:
- Ragtime (9) - The most consistent and powerful sprinter in the field.
- Om N Joy (5) - Best value on the board with a Grade 3 win and elite rating.
- Quietside (11) - Pure class cutting back to a sprint distance.
- Vodka With A Twist (12) - Solid form against older horses makes her a major player.
Final Word
The 2025 Raven Run Stakes represents the best of the Keeneland Fall Meet: speed, class, history, and a whole field promising incredible wagering opportunities. Whether you choose to trust the obvious class of Ragtime, take a chance on a speed-figure standout like Kappa Kappa, or seek value with the talented Om N Joy, this is a race you cannot miss.
The combination of a fast dirt track, the high-stakes atmosphere, and the presence of world-class jockeys like Dettori, the Ortiz brothers, and Rosario guarantees a thrilling sprint. Don't just watch the race—get in on the action! Review the latest Raven Run Stakes odds, lock in your picks, and prepare for a spectacular Saturday finish. The next big winner is just seven furlongs away.
The writing team at US Racing is comprised of both full-time and part-time contributors with expertise in various aspects of the Sport of Kings.