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Kentucky Derby Betting and January Speed Duels

The High Stakes of January Prep Races The Road to the Roses in May begins long before the mint juleps flow at Churchill Downs. As we turn the calendar to January, the intensity of the Kentucky Derby prep races reaches a fever pitch. Enthusiastic owners and trainers push their three-year-olds into hi...
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Kentucky Derby Betting: The 40-Point Safety Trap

Why the Public is Overvaluing Ted Noffey in January The road to Churchill Downs often appears mathematically certain by mid-January. You look at the current Kentucky Derby leaderboard and see a horse like Ted Noffey sitting on a massive 40-point cushion. He dominated the juvenile season; he looks ph...
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