Hughes drew post 5 and is the 1-1 morning-line favorite for the Breeders' Cup Juvenile 2026, Race 9 at Keeneland on Friday, Oct. 30 (4:55 PM ET). The unbeaten Bob Baffert trainee is 4-for-4, including two Grade 1 wins, and comes in off a six-length American Pharoah Stakes score at Santa Anita. The race is part of Future Stars Friday at Breeders' Cup 2026.
Updated: Wed., Oct. 28 — post position and morning line from Monday's draw; Gaudreau (#2) scratched.
The fastest horse in the field on figures. The question is the short price, not the horse.
5Post Position
1-1Morning Line
4-0-0Record (4 Starts)
108Last Brisnet
Hughes at a Glance
Jockey / Trainer
Flavien Prat / Bob Baffert
Owner
Front Row Club, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables, Stonestreet Stables and partners
Pedigree
Into Mischief – KP Dreamin, by Union Rags
Earnings
$480,000
Last Race
1st American Pharoah Stakes (G1), Santa Anita, Oct. 3
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Two need the lead from outside him, and the favorite doesn't need it at all:
The break: He Is No Lie (8) and Coach Pope (7) both want to be forward from outside, so Prat can let them come and sit just off the pace.
Early pace: Honest, not fast. He Is No Lie needs the lead and Coach Pope dueled through the Breeders' Futurity. Hughes presses and settled third in the American Pharoah, so he can stalk.
The danger inside: Salahudin (3) has tactical speed and can get first run. American History (6), right outside him, may end up pressing him if the break is quick.
Late: American History is the closer to fear. Hughes' edge is speed: his 108 Brisnet is 12 points clear of anyone else in the field.
Recent Form
Hughes: Last 3 Starts
Date
Race
Track / Dist
Finish
Odds
10/03/26
American Pharoah (G1)
Santa Anita 1 1/16m
1st by 6
4-5
09/06/26
Del Mar Futurity (G1)
Del Mar 7f
1st by 4 3/4
1-5
08/08/26
Best Pal (G3)
Del Mar
1st by 7 3/4
3-5
Source: published race results. — = not available.
Speed Figures: How Hughes Stacks Up
Last-Race Brisnet Figures in the Juvenile Field
Horse
Last Race
Brisnet
Hughes
1st, American Pharoah (G1)
108
Salahudin
1st, Iroquois (G3)
96
He Is No Lie
2nd, Iroquois (G3)
95
Earth Song
4th, Champagne (G1)
94
American History
1st, Breeders' Futurity (G1)
93
Coach Pope
2nd, Breeders' Futurity (G1)
92
Damavand
1st, Maiden, Keeneland
87
Brisnet Speed Rating from each horse's last start, per Horse Racing Nation.
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Prediction: Can Hughes Win?
Why He Can
Unbeaten in four starts with three straight graded stakes wins, including the Del Mar Futurity (G1) and American Pharoah (G1).
Top last-out Brisnet figure in the field (108), 12 points clear of the next best.
Already proven at the Juvenile distance: won the 1 1/16-mile American Pharoah in 1:43.22.
Why He Might Not
Has never raced outside California and has no starts over Keeneland's surface.
Only one start around two turns so far.
At 1-1 he offers little value on top; American History won the Breeders' Futurity over this track and trip.
About a 40% chance to win (fair odds 3-2). American History is the main threat.
Hughes Breeders' Cup Juvenile Pick
The best horse in the race, but even money is a short price for a juvenile shipping east for the first time. Use him on top in exactas instead of a big straight win bet.
About $11 (American History 2nd) or $10 (Coach Pope 2nd)
Trifecta
5 with 6, 7 with 1, 3, 6, 7
$6 ($1 each)
Pays more if a longshot runs third
Examples only, based on the 1-1 morning line. Win returns include your stake. Exacta figures are estimates (winner's odds × (second horse's odds + 1) × $2); actual payouts are set by the betting pools at post time.
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