Breeders' Cup Juvenile Odds, Post & Pick: He Is No Lie

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Contender: He Is No Lie

He Is No Lie drew post 8 and is 15-1 on the morning line for the Breeders' Cup Juvenile 2026, Race 9 at Keeneland on Friday, Oct. 30 (4:55 PM ET). Trained by Doug O'Neill, he was beaten a half-length by Salahudin in the Iroquois Stakes (G3) at Churchill Downs. The race is part of Future Stars Friday at Breeders' Cup 2026.

Updated: Wed., Oct. 28 — post position and morning line from Monday's draw; Gaudreau (#2) scratched.

The likely pacesetter, from the widest post. A longshot who needs the lead.

8Post Position
15-1Morning Line
1-2-0Record (4 Starts)
95Last Brisnet
He Is No Lie at a Glance
Jockey / TrainerJoel Rosario / Doug O'Neill
OwnerPurple Rein Racing (Janie Buss)
PedigreeEarly Voting – Truth in the Lies, by Hold Me Back
Earnings$151,050
Last Race2nd Iroquois Stakes (G3), Churchill Downs, Sept. 12
Last Workout3f in :35.80, Keeneland, Oct. 21
How QualifiedEntered; fields set by Breeders' Cup Challenge points and panel selection
Race1 1/16 miles, dirt, $2 million

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Breeders' Cup Juvenile Post Positions and Morning Line

2026 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Field (7)
PPHorseJockeyTrainerML
1DamavandLuis SaezTodd Pletcher20-1
2Gaudreau (SCR)Manuel FrancoChad BrownSCR
3SalahudinTyler GaffalioneBob Baffert6-1
4Earth SongJunior AlvaradoJorge Delgado20-1
5HughesFlavien PratBob Baffert1-1
6American HistoryJohn VelazquezTodd Pletcher9-2
7Coach PopeJose OrtizKenny McPeek4-1
8He Is No LieJoel RosarioDoug O'Neill15-1

Post position draw held Monday, Oct. 26 at Keeneland. SCR = scratched. Race details: Breeders' Cup Juvenile. Live prices: Breeders' Cup odds.

Post 8 and Pace: He Is No Lie's Trip

The one horse who needs the lead, drawn widest of all:

  • The break: Post 8 is the outside post. Rosario has to send him early to cross the field before the first turn.
  • Early pace: Honest, not fast. Coach Pope (7) breaks right inside him with speed, and Hughes (5) will press. Clear early fractions are unlikely.
  • The danger inside: Salahudin (3) beat him by a half-length in the Iroquois and drew far better.
  • Late: He was collared late in both stakes placings. If he gets the lead alone, he can last for a share; if he is pressed, he is likely to fade.

Recent Form

He Is No Lie: Last 3 Starts
DateRaceTrack / DistFinishOdds
09/12/26Iroquois (G3)Churchill Downs 1m2nd by 1/29-2
08/08/26Best Pal (G3)Del Mar 6f4th9-4
06/28/26Bashford Manor (L)Churchill Downs 6f2nd by hd9-2

Source: published race results. — = not available.

Speed Figures: How He Is No Lie Stacks Up

Last-Race Brisnet Figures in the Juvenile Field
HorseLast RaceBrisnet
Hughes1st, American Pharoah (G1)108
Salahudin1st, Iroquois (G3)96
He Is No Lie2nd, Iroquois (G3)95
Earth Song4th, Champagne (G1)94
American History1st, Breeders' Futurity (G1)93
Coach Pope2nd, Breeders' Futurity (G1)92
Damavand1st, Maiden, Keeneland87

Brisnet Speed Rating from each horse's last start, per Horse Racing Nation.

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Prediction: Can He Is No Lie Win?

Why He Can
  • Beaten only a half-length by unbeaten Salahudin in the Iroquois (G3) at a mile.
  • Career-high 95 Brisnet in the Iroquois, third best last-out figure in the field.
  • Likely to be on or near the lead in a race without much other early speed.
Why He Might Not
  • Has never raced at Keeneland or at 1 1/16 miles.
  • Collared late in both of his stakes placings.
  • Post 8 forces him to use speed early to clear the field.

About a 4% chance to win (fair odds 25-1). Hughes and Salahudin are the main threats.

He Is No Lie Breeders' Cup Juvenile Pick

He sets the pace, but the outside post and a pressing favorite make it hard to last. A trifecta add-on, not a win bet.

Bet #8 He Is No Lie at BUSR →

How to Bet He Is No Lie (#8)
BetTicketCostExample return
Win#8$10$160 at 15-1
Win#8$50$800 at 15-1
Exacta8 over 5, 3$4 ($2 each)About $60 (Hughes 2nd) or $210 (Salahudin 2nd)
Trifecta8 with 5, 3 with 3, 5, 6, 7$6 ($1 each)Pays more if a longshot runs third

Examples only, based on the 15-1 morning line. Win returns include your stake. Exacta figures are estimates (winner's odds × (second horse's odds + 1) × $2); actual payouts are set by the betting pools at post time.

More: Breeders' Cup betting guide · contenders · schedule.

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He Is No Lie FAQ

What post did He Is No Lie draw for the Breeders' Cup Juvenile?

He Is No Lie drew post 8 for the 2026 Breeders' Cup Juvenile. Gaudreau (#2) scratched, leaving a field of seven.

What are He Is No Lie's morning line odds?

He Is No Lie is 15-1 on the morning line. Live prices: our Breeders' Cup odds page.

Who is riding He Is No Lie in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile?

Joel Rosario rides for trainer Doug O'Neill.

Has He Is No Lie raced at Keeneland?

No. His four starts came at Santa Anita, Churchill Downs and Del Mar.

What time is the 2026 Breeders' Cup Juvenile?

Race 9 at Keeneland on Friday, Oct. 30, with post time at 4:55 PM ET.

Draw and morning line as of Oct. 27, 2026; Gaudreau scratched. Odds subject to change.

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