Horse Racing Picks Today (Nov. 7, 2026): Belmont Park, Churchill Downs and Del Mar Stakes
By US Racing Team Published November 6, 2026, 3:28 p.m. ET
Horse racing picks today for Saturday, November 7, 2026 center on three stakes: the Grade 2 $300,000 Mother Goose Stakes at Belmont Park (Race 9, 3:43 p.m. ET), where Grade 1 Cotillion Stakes winner Bodacious Bay is the 5-2 morning-line favorite, and the Grade 3 $300,000 River City Stakes at Churchill Downs (Race 8, 4:25 p.m. ET), where Lambeth is the 9-5 morning-line favorite. At Del Mar, Big City Lights tops the $100,000 The Chosen Vron Stakes for California-bred or California-sired runners at 2-1 (Race 8, 4:03 p.m. PT / 7:03 p.m. ET).
Update, November 6, 2026, 3:36 p.m. ET: The Chosen Vron Stakes post time confirmed at 4:03 p.m. PT (7:03 p.m. ET) and trainers added for all nine starters, per the official Del Mar entries. Morning lines unchanged.
Update, November 6, 2026, 3:37 p.m. ET: Full Mother Goose Stakes morning line added for all 11 fillies, per the official Belmont Park entries. Bodacious Bay remains the 5-2 favorite; Cognition is second choice at 9-2.
Update, November 6, 2026, 3:39 p.m. ET: River City Stakes field, morning line and 4:25 p.m. ET post time confirmed against the official Churchill Downs entries; trainer and jockey names updated to official listings and turf rail position (12 feet) added. Morning lines unchanged.
Update, November 6, 2026, 3:40 p.m. ET: Corrected The Chosen Vron Stakes eligibility to Golden State Series–eligible California-bred or California-sired horses. Added assigned weights to all three tables, wager menus, the Mother Goose Lasix condition and The Chosen Vron purse split, per the official entries.
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Saturday, November 7, 2026 Stakes Fields and Morning Lines
Mother Goose Stakes (Grade 2), Belmont Park, Race 9, 3:43 p.m. ET
Post
Horse
Jockey
Trainer
Weight (lbs)
Morning line
1
Cognition
Flavien Prat
Chad C. Brown
120
9-2
2
Answered Prayers
Junior Alvarado
William I. Mott
120
8-1
3
Tap to Open
Manuel Franco
Brad H. Cox
122
5-1
4
Laken
Vincent Cheminaud
Saffie A. Joseph, Jr.
120
20-1
5
Iron Orchard
Dylan Davis
Steven M. Asmussen
124
12-1
6
Ati Girl
John R. Velazquez
William I. Mott
120
6-1
7
Bodacious Bay
Micah J. Husbands
Saffie A. Joseph, Jr.
124
5-2
8
Ivy Girl
Antonio Fresu
Amelia J. Green
122
30-1
9
Tahlequah
Paco Lopez
Saffie A. Joseph, Jr.
120
12-1
10
Intrepids Fantasy
Jorge Ruiz
Gary Capuano
120
8-1
11
Run Wild
Samuel Marin
Miguel Clement
120
15-1
River City Stakes (Grade 3), Churchill Downs, Race 8, 4:25 p.m. ET
Post
Horse
Jockey
Trainer
Weight (lbs)
Morning line
1
Carcano
Jaime A. Torres
Victoria H. Oliver
121
20-1
2
Mercante
Walter A. Rodriguez
Brian Knippenberg
121
8-1
3
Vote No
Umberto Rispoli
Kelsey Danner
121
8-1
4
Lambeth
Jose L. Ortiz
Joe Sharp
125
9-5
5
Kupuna
Francisco Arrieta
Norman W. Casse
121
9-2
6
Teao (CHI)
Luis Saez
John W. Sadler
125
6-1
7
Plensa
Axel Concepcion
George R. Arnold II
121
15-1
8
Ole Crazy Bone
Tyler Gaffalione
Michael J. Maker
125
3-1
The Chosen Vron Stakes, Del Mar, Race 8, 4:03 p.m. PT (7:03 p.m. ET)
River City Stakes (G3): Churchill Downs, 1 1/8 miles, turf, Race 8, 4:25 p.m. ET; favorite Lambeth 9-5.
The Chosen Vron Stakes: Del Mar, 7 furlongs, dirt, Golden State Series–eligible California-bred or California-sired 3-year-olds and up, Race 8, 4:03 p.m. PT (7:03 p.m. ET); favorite Big City Lights 2-1.
TV: River City on NBC TV; Belmont Park on FOX Sports networks (America’s Day at the Races); Del Mar on NBC.
Where to bet: BUSR, with up to a $1,000 Welcome Bonus.
Who is the favorite in the 2026 Mother Goose Stakes?
Bodacious Bay is the 5-2 favorite in the Grade 2 Mother Goose Stakes. Trained by Saffie A. Joseph, Jr. and ridden by Micah J. Husbands from post 7, she won the Grade 1 Cotillion Stakes at Parx Racing on September 19, 2026, by 3 1/4 lengths over Kentucky Oaks winner Always a Runner.
According to Equibase’s analysis, she has never finished out of the exacta in five starts, earned the field-best 101 Equibase Speed Figure in the Cotillion, and broke her maiden by 4 lengths on a sloppy Churchill Downs track. Rain is forecast for Saturday at Belmont Park.
Who is the favorite in the 2026 River City Stakes?
Lambeth is the 9-5 morning-line favorite in the Grade 3 River City Stakes at 1 1/8 miles on the Churchill Downs turf, with the rail set at 12 feet. Trained by Joe Sharp and ridden by Jose L. Ortiz from post 4, he won the 1 1/2-mile Sycamore Stakes at Keeneland by 1 length last out and now cuts back 3 furlongs.
Ole Crazy Bone (3-1), a two-time Grade 2 winner for Michael J. Maker, projects as the main speed per America’s Best Racing but finished sixth and eighth in his last two starts.
What stakes race is at Del Mar on November 7, 2026?
Del Mar runs the $100,000 The Chosen Vron Stakes, 7 furlongs on dirt for Golden State Series–eligible California-bred or California-sired 3-year-olds and up, as Race 8 on a 9-race card, per the official conditions. The purse pays $57,000 to the winner, then $19,000, $12,000, $6,000, $4,000 and $2,000 to sixth. Big City Lights is the 2-1 favorite. The Bing Crosby Season opened Friday, November 6, with the Let It Ride Stakes.
Lovesick Blues (5-1), winner of the 2025 Grade 1 Bing Crosby Stakes, returns from a layoff of more than 7 months; his last start was the Dubai Golden Shaheen in March. Trainer Librado Barocio reported 5-furlong works of 1:00.10 and 59.60 seconds.
What time do the stakes races start today?
Belmont Park’s first post is 11:40 a.m. ET, with the Mother Goose Stakes at 3:43 p.m. ET. Churchill Downs runs the River City Stakes at 4:25 p.m. ET. Del Mar’s first post is 12:30 p.m. PT, with The Chosen Vron Stakes at 4:03 p.m. PT (7:03 p.m. ET).
Betting Angle: Where the Value Sits on November 7
Mother Goose Stakes: Bodacious Bay at 5-2 is the most proven filly, which makes her a logical key on top of exactas and trifectas rather than an overlay to bet to win. The price angle is Intrepids Fantasy at 8-1, 3-for-3 by a combined 23 1/2 lengths, 2-for-2 on wet dirt and the top contender in Equibase’s analysis, though she makes her first stakes start and first one-turn start. She also races without Lasix for the first time, but so does the entire field: the conditions bar Lasix within 48 hours of post time under HISA Rule 4212. Weight favors her too: she carries 120 lbs, 4 fewer than Bodacious Bay’s 124. Tap to Open (5-1), winner of the Cathryn Sophia Stakes, stumbled at the start of the Cotillion and is a candidate to bounce back. A $1 exacta box of 7-10-3 covers all three angles for $6.
River City Stakes: At 9-2, Kupuna offers more value than the 9-5 favorite. He won the Bernard Baruch Stakes at Saratoga at 12-1 on September 3, is 1-for-1 on the Churchill Downs turf, and comes in fresh. He also carries 121 lbs, 4 fewer than Lambeth and Ole Crazy Bone at 125. A win bet on Kupuna plus an exacta of 5 over 4 and 8 (2 combinations) plays the value while respecting both.
The Chosen Vron Stakes: Big City Lights returns to dirt, his best surface according to his barn, after a fifth on turf. Lovesick Blues at 5-1 is the class of the field if he is fit off the layoff. Both carry top weight of 126 lbs. A $0.50 trifecta of 5 and 9 on top in either order, with 1 in third, covers the top three on form for $1.
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How do I bet horse racing picks today?
Open a BUSR account, deposit, and choose the track and race number: Belmont Park Race 9, Churchill Downs Race 8, or Del Mar Race 8. Select the bet type (win, place, show, exacta, trifecta), enter the program numbers and stake, then confirm before post time. New players get up to a $1,000 Welcome Bonus.
Wager menus, per the official entries:
Mother Goose Stakes (Belmont Park Race 9): $1 Exacta, $0.50 Trifecta, $0.10 Superfecta, $1 Double (Races 9 and 10).
River City Stakes (Churchill Downs Race 8): Daily Double, Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Pick 3 (Races 8-10), Pick 4 (Races 8-11), Super Hi-5, Odd vs Even.
The Chosen Vron Stakes (Del Mar Race 8): $1 Exacta, $2 Quinella, $0.50 Trifecta, $5 Late Double, $1 Superfecta ($0.10 minimum), $2 WPS Parlay.
The key races on November 7, 2026 are the Grade 2 Mother Goose Stakes at Belmont Park (favorite Bodacious Bay, 5-2), the Grade 3 River City Stakes at Churchill Downs (favorite Lambeth, 9-5), and The Chosen Vron Stakes at Del Mar (favorite Big City Lights, 2-1).
What time is the Mother Goose Stakes?
The Mother Goose Stakes is Race 9 at Belmont Park with a 3:43 p.m. ET post time on Saturday, November 7, 2026.
What time is the River City Stakes?
The River City Stakes is Race 8 at Churchill Downs with a 4:25 p.m. ET post time, live on FanDuel TV.
Is the Del Mar fall meet open?
Yes. Del Mar’s Bing Crosby Season opened Friday, November 6, 2026, and runs 13 days through Sunday, November 29, with first post at 12:30 p.m. PT.
Will the track be wet at Belmont Park?
Rain is forecast for Saturday, and Equibase’s analysis expects a sloppy or muddy main track. Bodacious Bay and Intrepids Fantasy have both won on wet dirt. Check scratches and track condition before betting.
Where can I bet on these races online?
You can bet on Belmont Park, Churchill Downs, and Del Mar at BUSR, which offers new players up to a $1,000 Welcome Bonus.
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