Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Undercard Features Five Breeders' Cup Qualifiers; Odds, Picks

It's a European mini-Breeders' Cup at the famous racetrack on the western edge of Paris. ParisLongchamp hosts this international display of horseflesh that sparks an all-day betting orgy.

Thesecretadversary

In addition to Sunday's main event, the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe (G1), the Old World's autumn championship, five other Group 1 stakes are on the card. Like the Arc, each is a “Win and You're In” race that awards the winner an automatic berth in a Breeders' Cup race on Oct. 30-31 at Keeneland.

Let's take a look at the leading contenders in the five undercard races:

Prix Marcel Boussac (G1), mile, 2-year-old fillies (post 7:40 a.m. ET)

Winner gets a spot in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1).

Green Empress (9-4 favorite) won a Group 2 and finished second in her other three starts to superstar Sun Goddess, a four-time stakes winner. Green Empress should take advantage of the drop in class. Data (6-1) has two wins (one a Group 3) and has never been off the board in four starts. Allela (5-1) is 2-for-2 at the distance, prompting her connections to pay a supplement to enter.

The picks: 1 Green Empress 2 Data 3 Allela

Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere (G1), 7 furlongs, 2-year-olds (post 8:15 a.m.)

Winner gets a spot in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf (G1).

Favored Folsom Blues (7-4) is 2-for-3 at the distance after dominating a Group 1 at the Curragh by six lengths for trainer Joseph O'Brien. Before that he finished a close second to Sun Goddess in a Group 1. His main challenger should be Avec Toi (4-1). He's 4-for-4, all at 7 furlongs, and one was at ParisLongchamp. Very dangerous.  Amusingly (9-2) fell short by a neck in a mile Group 2 at ParisLongchamp.

The picks: 1 Folsom Blues 2 Avec Toi 3 Amusingly

Prix de l'Abbaye de Longchamp (G1), 5 furlongs, all ages, (post 8:50 a.m.)

Winner gets a spot in the Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint (G1).

As usual, the Abbaye is a wide-open cavalry charge (15 runners) down a straightaway on the ParisLongchamp backstretch. In 2019, England-based filly Glass Slippers won it. The next year she finished second in the Abbaye before taking the Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint.

Naana's Shadow (11-2) led throughout her last race, a course-and-distance win by 1 3/4 lengths over Shiri (12-1). The latter is 2-for-3 at 5 furlongs and won at ParisLongchamp. She could pull off an upset. Time for Sandals (6-1) has earned $824,774 in14 turf sprints but won only one of them. She finished third three times, and maybe she'll do that again. England-based Karl Burke will send out Miss Yechance (6-1), who beat a total of 28 horses in her last two at 5 furlongs.

The picks: 1 Naana's Shadow 2 Shiri 3 Time for Sandals

Prix de l'Opera (G1), 1 1/4 miles, fillies & mares 3 and up (post 10:50 a.m.)

Winner gets a spot in the Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf (G1).

Aventure (11-8), second in the 2024 Arc, just overpowered the brilliant Diamond Necklace, who was 6-for-6 lifetime, in a Group 1 at Deauville. Aventure is 2-for-2 going1 1/4 miles. Miss Scott (8-1) is a live longshot for the training team of John and Thady Gosden. She steps up in class after a 3 3/4-length runaway in a 9-furlong Group 3. Pink Panthera (4-1) comes off consecutive seconds in her first three Group races.

The picks: 1 Aventure 2 Miss Scott 3 Pink Panthera

Prix de la Foret (G1), 7 furlongs, 3 and up (post 11:25 a.m.)

Winner gets a spot in the Breeders' Cup Mile (G1). Goldikova (2010) and Space Blues (2021) finished first in both races.

Thesecretadversary (5-2) had an off day (sixth) in the mile Prix Jacques Le Marois (G1) at Deauville, but in his previous race there he scored going 7 furlongs in the Prix Jean Prat (G1). Expect him to bounce back. Morning-line favorite Samangan (2-1) ended a four-race losing streak in a 6 1/2-furlong Group 1 at Deauville but is 0-for-3 at 7 furlongs. Aidan O'Brien's True Love (5-1) lost to Thesecretadversary and Samangan in a five-race slump since she won the 1,000 Guineas (G1) at Newmarket.

The picks: 1 Thesecretadversary 2 Samangan 3 True Love

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