Since 1960, just 10 of 279 non-Kentucky Derby starters have won the Preakness Stakes. That’s a 3.6 percent win rate, a 0.36 impact value (IV) and a 0.64 odds-based impact value (OBIV). Dr. Will...
The hype of the undefeated Kentucky Derby Champion Nyquist reached a fever pitch just a couple days before the Preakness Stakes. On my Facebook Page, Dead Heat Debates, some even tried to say that Nyq...
Now that the Kentucky Derby is over, we are on to the Preakness. Can Nyquist make it nine wins in a row? A few weeks back I discussed how handicapping the Kentucky Derby is different than your nor...
Once, as I reclined on an easy chair, sipping a Michelob Ultra (gotta watch the carbs), with a copy of the Daily Racing Form spread out on my lap, I was asked to explain what I was doing. Smiling, I t...
The early pace of the Kentucky Derby set up pretty close to how I laid it out, with Danzing Candy doing what one-dimensional frontrunners do best, setting a hot pace and failing. But, Danzing Candy we...
The other day, I tweeted that “Exaggerator is the next Sham” before truly thinking about it. It wasn’t the first time someone has tweeted quicker than their brain’s neurons could fire. Obvious...
As a value-conscious bettor, I always try to determine whether a horse is an overlay (worth wagering on) or an underlay (not worth wagering on). Of course, this is easier said than done. Anybody capab...
The Preakness Stakes is closing in on us with rapid speed, and with it our answer to whether or not we will see another Triple Crown winner. This past Saturday didn’t feature a Preakness Stakes chal...
How important is speed in the Preakness Stakes? I have watched the Preakness from 2015 to 2009 and have seen only two horses really come off the pace — Lookin at Lucky and I’ll Have Another. A...
“Winning isn’t everything, it’s the only thing.” ~Vince Lombardi Two-year-old champion Nyquist is looking to take the next step in his journey toward history when he heads to the track nex...