The Dwyer Stakes 2026 odds make reigning champion 2-year-old Ted Noffey the 8-5 morning-line favorite for the Listed $200,000 Dwyer Stakes, Race 8 at Belmont Park on Saturday, November 7, 2026, with post time at 3:12 p.m. ET. Sea Strike is the 2-1 second choice, Stimulate is 6-1 and Igniter is 8-1 in a field of 10 three-year-olds entered for one mile on the dirt, according to the official Belmont Park program.
Updated November 7, 2026, 09:15 a.m. ET Decisive Win is scratched, leaving 9 runners.
| Post | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | Morning line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bravaro | Paco Lopez | Saffie Joseph Jr. | 124 | 15-1 |
| 2 | Overtime Rules | Sam Marin | Arnaud Delacour | 122 | 15-1 |
| 3 | Stimulate | Junior Alvarado | Bill Mott | 122 | 6-1 |
| 4 | White Smoke Rising | Kendrick Carmouche | Charlton Baker | 122 | 20-1 |
| 5 | Stop the Car | Dylan Davis | Brendan Walsh | 122 | 20-1 |
| 6 | Ted Noffey | John Velazquez | Todd Pletcher | 124 | 8-5 |
| 7 | Decisive Win | Antonio Fresu | Doug O'Neill | 120 | |
| 8 | Igniter | Manny Franco | Rick Dutrow Jr. | 124 | 8-1 |
| 9 | Sea Strike | Flavien Prat | Chad Brown | 124 | 2-1 |
| 10 | Mailata | A. Adorno | Robert Reid Jr. | 124 | 30-1 |
Ted Noffey is the 8-5 morning-line favorite in the Listed $200,000 Dwyer Stakes at Belmont Park. The undefeated son of Into Mischief, trained by Todd Pletcher and ridden by John Velazquez, breaks from post 6 of 10. He is 4-for-4 with three Grade 1 wins but has not raced since the 2025 Breeders' Cup Juvenile.
He won Grade 1 races in the Hopeful Stakes at Saratoga Race Course, the Breeders' Futurity at Keeneland, and the Breeders' Cup Juvenile at Del Mar. Bone bruising delayed his return, per NYRA.
The Dwyer Stakes 2026 post time is 3:12 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 7, 2026. It is Race 8 on the 10-race Belmont Park card, which also includes the Grade 2 $300,000 Mother Goose Stakes and the Listed $175,000 Pumpkin Pie Stakes. First post is 11:40 a.m. ET, per NYRA entries.
No. The 2026 Dwyer Stakes is a Listed stakes, not a graded race, per the NYRA stakes schedule. It is the 53rd running, worth $200,000, for 3-year-olds at one mile on the dirt. The Dwyer moved from early July to November in 2025 and now serves as a fall target for late-developing 3-year-olds.
Per the official race conditions, nominations closed on October 22, 2026, with 16 nominations, and Lasix is not allowed within 48 hours of post time under HISA Rule 4212.
Decisive Win, post 7, is scratched from the 2026 Dwyer Stakes. Trainer Doug O'Neill reported the scratch on November 5, 2026, according to NYRA. That leaves 9 runners. Decisive Win was 15-1 on the morning line. Ted Noffey, Sea Strike and Stimulate remain the top three at 8-5, 2-1 and 6-1.
Ted Noffey is the most accomplished horse in the field by a wide margin: he is the only graded-stakes winner among the five stakes winners entered. The question at 8-5 is fitness after a 53-week layoff.
Pace: Overtime Rules (post 2) has led every step of his last two wins, and Mailata (post 10) set the pace in the Grade 2 Gallant Bob Stakes. Ted Noffey has won as a pace presser sitting second, the trip this setup should give him.
Value alternatives: Igniter (post 8, 8-1) won the Ellis Park Derby by 4 lengths in August and drops in class after a fifth in the Grade 1 Pennsylvania Derby. Sea Strike (2-1) won the Curlin Stakes at Saratoga by more than 8 lengths before a sixth in the Grade 1 Travers Stakes. Stimulate, a Tapit colt from Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott, is 6-1 after a third in the Bourbon Flight at Churchill Downs.
Bets to play (example structures, not current prices):
Bet the Dwyer Stakes 2026 at BUSR. Open an account, claim up to $1,000 Welcome Bonus, fund it and go to Belmont Park Race 8 before the 3:12 p.m. ET post time. Race 8 offers a $1 exacta, $0.50 trifecta, $0.10 superfecta, a $1 daily double with Race 9 and a $1 Pick 3 covering Races 8 to 10, per the official program.
More: Dwyer Stakes, Belmont Park, horse racing odds.
Ted Noffey is 8-5, Sea Strike is 2-1, Stimulate is 6-1, and Igniter is 8-1 on the morning line. Mailata is the longest price at 30-1.
Belmont Park in Elmont, New York, at one mile on the dirt around one turn.
$200,000.
Hall of Famer John Velazquez, who has ridden him in all four starts.
NYRA moved the Dwyer from early July to November starting in 2025.
Ten entered; 9 run after the Decisive Win scratch.
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