Belmont Stakes Odds, Favorites, and Expert Betting Insights

2025 Belmont Stakes Day: Track Update and Betting Breakdown

The races are underway at Saratoga, and the track is officially listed as sloppy and sealed, while the turf course is rated yielding.

Rain earlier in the day led to many scratches in the earlier races, most of them due to the weather. If you’re planning your Belmont Stakes betting strategy, this is a good time to take another look—especially with how the Belmont Stakes odds might shift based on the track conditions and scratches. Whether you're a seasoned pro or trying online horse betting for the first time, staying updated can give you an edge.

Keep an especially close eye on how the Belmont Stakes odds react to the forecast.


Top Betting Notes for Belmont Day

Baeza (4/1)

Is a strong top pick for exacta and trifecta bets. He finishes races with a strong closing kick, has a good post position, and comes from a top bloodline. After his performances in the Derby and Santa Anita Derby, it’s easy to see why his name is rising on the 2025 Belmont Stakes odds boards.

Check Baeza profile

Sovereignty (2/1) and Journalism (8/5)

Both are great options to include with Baeza in multi-horse bets. Sovereignty comes in fresh after skipping the Preakness, while Journalism is riding momentum after winning it.

Check Sovereignty profile | Check Journalism profile

Crudo (15/1)

Is the interesting longshot. He has early speed and a good outside draw. If he avoids a speed battle with Rodriguez and settles just behind the leaders, he could be a sneaky value play in the Belmont Stakes odds and a key name in your horse betting strategy.

Check Crudo profile


Suggested Bets

  • Exacta: Key #6 Baeza over #2 Sovereignty, #7 Journalism, #5 Crudo
  • Trifecta: Key box #6 Baeza with #2 Sovereignty, #7 Journalism, #5 Crudo

Not sure how to bet on Belmont Stakes? BUSR makes it easy with fast deposits, clear odds, and expert tips.


Race Day Scratches and Turf Changes

The lineup of Belmont Stakes horses remains unchanged heading into the race. This sets up a rainy but exciting rematch between the Derby's top three: Sovereignty, Journalism, and Baeza. Belmont Stakes post time is still on schedule for 7:04 p.m. ET. As the track begins to dry, it’s possible the Belmont Stakes odds will shift before post time.


Turf Races Affected by Rain

Due to rain since Friday, several turf races have been either moved or postponed.

The $1 million Manhattan Stakes (G1) and the $500,000 Jaipur Stakes (G1)—a Breeders’ Cup qualifier—have been postponed to Sunday. These two major turf races were originally set as race 12 and race 9, just before the 157th Belmont Stakes featuring Sovereignty and Journalism going 1¼ miles in the final leg of the Triple Crown.

In addition, four other turf races have been switched to the main dirt track:

  • Race 3
  • Race 6 – Wonder Again Stakes (G3)
  • Race 10 – Pennine Ridge Stakes (G3)
  • Race 14

The New York Racing Association (NYRA) also released an updated wagering menu to match these changes:

Belmont day festival undercard after NYRA's updates due to heavy rain

This will be the first sloppy Belmont Stakes track since 2011, and with rain still in the picture, we could see a repeat of the Derby battle between Journalism and Sovereignty—both of whom handled the mud just fine. If you’re looking to bet on Belmont Stakes or sharpen your horse racing betting approach, the ever-changing track conditions and weather updates are key.

2025 Belmont Stakes odds, horses, post position, scratches

belmont stakes odds table

Belmont Stakes Odds, Contenders, Trainer, Jockeys
Horse Odds Trainer Jockey
Hill Road 10-1 Wayne Lukas Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Sovereignty 2-1 Bill Mott Junior Alvarado
Rodriguez 6-1 Bob Baffert Mike Smith
Uncaged 30-1 Todd Pletcher Luis Saez
Crudo 15-1 Todd Pletcher John Velazquez
Baeza 4-1 Todd Pletcher Flavien Prat
Journalism 8-5 Michael McCarthy Umberto Rispoli
Heart of Honor (GB) 30-1 Jamie Osborne Saffie Osborne
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