Bet on Saratoga: Bowling Green Stakes Tops Saturday’s Card

Bet on Saratoga: Bowling Green Stakes Tops Saturday’s Card

Turf marathons unfold slowly, like a long novel, and often have a plot twist at the end. There may be no change in the running order until the stretch, and then the real race begins.

That’s particularly true of three-turn events such as the 1 3/8-mile Bowling Green Stakes (G2), which has been testing the stamina of top-class grass runners since 1958. Saturday’s $250,000 feature at Saratoga drew seven entries that make up a tricky handicapping puzzle.

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Ole Crazy Bone, Soleil Volant, Desvio, and Carson’s Run have won going 11 furlongs or farther. Only Carson’s Run has a victory over the course – he has two – but he’s 0-for-5 since July 2024. The 2-1 morning-line favorite is Minaret Station, a powerful finisher but an unknown beyond 1 1/16 miles. The likely moderate pace will make it harder for him.

Bowling Green Odds: Fort George is a wild card as a 9-5 favorite

The wild card is Fort George, who spent the winter in Dubai, where he ran second to two-time Breeders’ Cup Turf (G1) winner Rebel’s Romance, one of the century’s top grass marathoners.

England-based Ed Walker and jockey Kieran Shoemark thrived at Meydan with Fort George. The 4-year-old gelding had a win and two seconds in four races, all stakes. Ignore his ninth-place finish in the Dubai Turf (G1) behind superstar Ombudsman, a Group 1 winner at Royal Ascot in his next race.

Walker on Fort George: “He’s a very tough horse, very genuine. For a few strides, we thought we were going to give Rebel’s Romance a bit of a fright. He’s a legend of international racing, so it was amazing to be competing with him, let alone finish second.”

For those who like to bet on horse racing, here’s a horse-by-horse analysis of the Bowling Green (post time: 5:39 p.m. ET) from the rail out, with trainer, jockey, and odds.

#HorseJockeyTrainerM/L
1Ole Crazy BoneF PratM J Maker5/2
2Soleil VolantT GaffalioneH G Motion12/1
3DesvioJ R VelazquezM F Meyers12/1
4Fort GeorgeK ShoemarkE Walker9/5
5Carson's RunJ RosarioM Clement10/1
6Minaret StationJ L OrtizW Walden2/1
7CarcanoM FrancoV H Oliver15/1

Last Updated on 07/08/2026

(Yo Daddy, Kinetic, and Dr. Kraft are entered for the main track only.)

1 Ole Crazy Bone (Mike Maker, Flavien Prat, 5-2)

Looks like another shrewd claim by Maker (a win, two seconds in three starts). His tactical speed gives him an edge in a field without much pace. Prat is brilliant at exploiting such situations while “waiting in front.”

Out of the money only once in his last six starts, he ran a strong second with a top speed figure in his only 2026 start, at 1 1/16 miles. Won last summer going 1½, and Maker specializes in stretching out turf horses.

Betting verdict: Win contender

2 Soleil Volant (H. Graham Motion, Tyler Gaffalione, 12-1)

Stamina isn’t a problem, but weak speed figures are a concern. Wide-trip second last time in 1½-mile listed stakes after winning his only try at 1 3/8 (optional claimer).  

Betting verdict: Use underneath.

3 Desvio (Madison Meyers, John Velázquez, 12-1)

He’s 0-for-2, beaten by a total of 14 lengths, this year, and in a 1-for-10 slump. The victory in the 1½-mile Sycamore (G2) was a 34-1 shocker on a wet course. Looks like a fluke.

Betting verdict: Toss

4 Fort George (Ed Walker, Kieran Shoemark, 9-5)

His company lines (Rebel’s Romance, Ombudsman) are by far the best in the field, and he’s 8-for-9 in the money on grass. Negatives: Hasn’t run since March, and Saratoga’s tight turns are an unfamiliar challenge.

Betting verdict: Win contender

5 Carson’s Run (Miguel Clement, Joel Rosario, 10-1)

He loves the course (2-for-4, one second) but is off form (0-for-5, in the money once since July 2024). Clement is optimistic, though.

“I think he should appreciate the distance,” he said. “More importantly, I think he’s training very well at Saratoga. It took us a little bit of time to get him back into form, but lately he’s giving us every indication he’s back to his best.”

Betting verdict: Use underneath

6 Minaret Station (Will Walden, Jose Ortiz, 2-1)

Blasted home when second last time at 1 1/16 miles, rocketing the final sixteenth in about 5½ seconds. Walden, like Clement, is a young trainer whose career is off to a terrific start. The distance question doesn’t worry him.

“I can’t express enough how talented I think this horse is,” he said before his last race. “I want to get him around three turns, and even 10-plus furlongs. His game could even take a step forward.”

On Saturday, we’ll find out.

Betting verdict: Win contender

7 Carcano (Victoria Oliver, Manny Franco, 15-1)

This is a brutal spot for a 6-year-old’s first stakes. No chance.

Betting verdict: Toss

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The Picks: 1 Ole Crazy Bone 2 Minaret Station 3 Fort George

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