Breeders' Cup Mile 2026 Odds, Post Positions and Picks

The Breeders’ Cup Mile 2026 goes Saturday, Oct. 31, at Keeneland, post time 4:20 PM ET, at 1 mile on turf for a $2 million purse. Here is the full field by post position with morning-line odds, scratch updates, a horse-by-horse look at every runner's recent form, and the horses at the top of the betting.

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Breeders’ Cup Mile 2026 Post Positions and Morning Line Odds

PostHorseJockeyTrainerMorning Line
1DeterministicCarmoucheClement8-1
2Lake ForestFallonHaggas6-1
3Facteur ChevalFrancoCasse30-1
4Cabo SpiritSmithPapaprodromou30-1
5Ask IkigomiSakaiFujiwara20-1
6Zulu Kingdom (scratched)PratBrownSCR
7QiratKeaneBeckett30-1
8Notable SpeechBuickAppleby7-5
9RhetoricalOrtizWalden8-1
10LugalMurphySugiyama30-1
11Formidable ManVelazquezMcCarthy15-1
12True LoveLordanO’Brien8-1
13Brilliant BertiHernandez Jr.DeVaux30-1
14Puerto RicoMooreO’Brien10-1
15Vina AranaBeschizzaSisterson30-1

Breeders’ Cup Mile Scratches and Changes

Zulu Kingdom (post 6) is scratched.

Breeders’ Cup Mile 2026 Odds: Top of the Betting

  • Notable Speech (post 8, 7-5): Buick rides for trainer Appleby; won the Woodbine Mile (G1) and the City of York (G1).
  • Lake Forest (post 2, 6-1): Fallon rides for trainer Haggas; 2nd in the Coolmore Turf Mile (G1) here Oct. 3.
  • Deterministic (post 1, 8-1): Carmouche rides for trainer Clement; won the Fourstardave (G1) and the Manhattan (G1).

Breeders’ Cup Mile 2026 Horse-by-Horse

Recent form for every runner, by post position.

1. Deterministic (8-1)

5-year-old horse trained by Clement, ridden by Carmouche. Finished 2nd in the Woodbine Mile (G1) at Woodbine, Sept. 12. Won the Fourstardave Stakes (G1) at Saratoga, Aug. 8. Won the Manhattan Stakes (G1) at Saratoga, June 6. 2026: 3 wins from 4 starts. Career: 10 wins from 17 starts, $3,191,439 in earnings.

2. Lake Forest (6-1)

5-year-old gelding trained by Haggas, ridden by Fallon. Finished 2nd in the Coolmore Turf Mile (G1) at Keeneland, Oct. 3. Finished 2nd in the City of York Stakes (G1) at York (England), Aug. 22. Finished 7th in the Sussex Stakes (G1) at Goodwood (England), July 29. 2026: 2 wins from 6 starts. Career: 5 wins from 21 starts, $4,539,939 in earnings.

3. Facteur Cheval (30-1)

Jockey Franco, trainer Casse. Morning line 30-1.

4. Cabo Spirit (30-1)

7-year-old gelding trained by Papaprodromou, ridden by Smith. Won the City of Hope Mile (G2) at Santa Anita, Sept. 26. Finished 4th in the Del Mar Mile (G2) at Del Mar, Aug. 22. Finished 2nd in the Eddie Read Stakes (G2) at Del Mar, July 26. 2026: 1 win from 6 starts. Career: 8 wins from 45 starts, $1,568,856 in earnings.

5. Ask Ikigomi (20-1)

3-year-old colt trained by Fujiwara, ridden by Sakai. Finished 2nd in the NHK Mile Cup (G1) at Tokyo, May 10. Won the Churchill Downs Cup (G3) at Hanshin (Japan), April 4. 2026: 2 wins from 3 starts. Career: 2 wins from 3 starts, $640,785 in earnings.

7. Qirat (30-1)

5-year-old gelding trained by Beckett, ridden by Keane. Won the Prix Daniel Wildenstein (G2) at Longchamp (France), Oct. 3. Finished 3rd in the Park Stakes (G2) at Doncaster (England), Sept. 12. Finished 2nd in the Celebration Mile (G2) at Goodwood (England), Aug. 29. 2026: 2 wins from 8 starts. Career: 6 wins from 23 starts, $1,348,796 in earnings.

8. Notable Speech (7-5)

5-year-old horse trained by Appleby, ridden by Buick. Won the Woodbine Mile (G1) at Woodbine, Sept. 12. Won the City of York Stakes (G1) at York (England), Aug. 22. Finished 6th in the Queen Anne Stakes (G1) at Ascot (England), June 16. 2026: 3 wins from 5 starts. Career: 10 wins from 19 starts, $4,428,249 in earnings.

9. Rhetorical (8-1)

5-year-old gelding trained by Walden, ridden by Ortiz. Won the Coolmore Turf Mile (G1) at Keeneland, Oct. 3. Finished 4th in the Fourstardave Stakes (G1) at Saratoga, Aug. 8. 2026: 2 wins from 5 starts. Career: 7 wins from 12 starts, $2,508,480 in earnings.

10. Lugal (30-1)

6-year-old horse trained by Sugiyama, ridden by Murphy. Finished 14th in the Sprinters Stakes (G1) at Nakayama (Japan), Sept. 27. Finished 8th in the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes (G1) at Ascot (England), June 20. Finished 2nd in the Al Quoz Sprint (G1) at Meydan (Dubai), March 28. 2026: 0 wins from 4 starts. Career: 5 wins from 23 starts, $2,934,474 in earnings.

11. Formidable Man (15-1)

5-year-old horse trained by McCarthy, ridden by Velazquez. Finished 7th in the Mint Millions Stakes (G3) at Kentucky Downs, Sept. 7. Finished 3rd in the Eddie Read Stakes (G2) at Del Mar, July 26. Won the Shoemaker Mile (G1) at Santa Anita, May 25. 2026: 1 win from 3 starts. Career: 9 wins from 19 starts, $1,734,425 in earnings.

12. True Love (8-1)

3-year-old filly trained by O’Brien, ridden by Lordan. Won the Prix de la Foret (G1) at Longchamp (France), Oct. 4. Finished 6th in the Matron Stakes (G1) at Leopardstown (Ireland), Sept. 12. Finished 5th in the Prix Maurice de Gheest (G1) at Deauville (France), Aug. 9. 2026: 3 wins from 8 starts. Career: 6 wins from 15 starts, $1,516,170 in earnings.

13. Brilliant Berti (30-1)

5-year-old horse trained by DeVaux, ridden by Hernandez Jr. Finished 4th in the Coolmore Turf Mile (G1) at Keeneland, Oct. 3. Finished 3rd in the Mint Millions Stakes (G3) at Kentucky Downs, Sept. 7. Won the Green River Island Stakes at Ellis Park, Aug. 2. 2026: 1 win from 7 starts. Career: 8 wins from 20 starts, $2,894,979 in earnings.

14. Puerto Rico (10-1)

3-year-old colt trained by O’Brien, ridden by Moore. Finished 3rd in the Prix de la Foret (G1) at Longchamp (France), Oct. 4. Finished 6th in the City of York Stakes (G1) at York (England), Aug. 22. Finished 11th in the Sussex Stakes (G1) at Goodwood (England), July 29. 2026: 0 wins from 5 starts. Career: 3 wins from 13 starts, $760,203 in earnings.

15. Vina Arana (30-1)

5-year-old mare trained by Sisterson, ridden by Beschizza. Finished 4th in the First Lady Stakes (G1) at Keeneland, Oct. 3. Finished 5th in the Ladies Turf Sprint (G1) at Kentucky Downs, Aug. 29. Won the Nassau Stakes (G2) at Woodbine, July 19. 2026: 1 win from 6 starts. Career: 3 wins from 14 starts, $297,937 in earnings.

Breeders’ Cup Mile 2026: Field at a Glance

  • 14 runners after scratches.
  • Morning-line favorite: Notable Speech at 7-5; the top three on the morning line are Notable Speech, Lake Forest and Deterministic.
  • Trainers with more than one runner: Aidan O'Brien (2).
  • Longest prices: Facteur Cheval, Cabo Spirit, Qirat, Lugal, Brilliant Berti and Vina Arana, all 30-1.

How to Watch the Breeders’ Cup Mile

Saturday, Oct. 31, post time 4:20 PM ET. Saturday coverage is on USA Network and Peacock from 1 to 3:30 PM ET, then NBC and Peacock from 3:30 to 6:30 PM ET.

Breeders’ Cup Mile Picks

Top choice: Notable Speech. Main threat: Lake Forest. Exacta box: Notable Speech, Lake Forest, Deterministic.

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FAQ

What time is the Breeders’ Cup Mile 2026?

4:20 PM ET, Saturday, Oct. 31, at Keeneland.

Who is the favorite in the Breeders’ Cup Mile?

Notable Speech at 7-5 on the morning line, from post 8.

Is Notable Speech running in the 2026 Breeders’ Cup Mile?

Yes, from post 8 at 7-5 on the morning line. He won the Woodbine Mile (G1) in his last start.

Who won the Coolmore Turf Mile at Keeneland?

Rhetorical won the Coolmore Turf Mile (G1) on Oct. 3, with Lake Forest 2nd. Rhetorical breaks from post 9 at 8-1.

More Breeders’ Cup 2026 Odds and Picks

Breeders’ Cup guides: Breeders’ Cup 2026 · Breeders’ Cup Odds · Breeders’ Cup Betting · Breeders’ Cup Schedule

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